538 Soccer Predictions – Smart Football Forecasts Explained Explore the Power Behind 538's SPI-Based Football Predictions


Time League Match Tip Odds Score
17:00 NOR CUP Rosenborg VS Rosenborg OVER 1.5
1.20
-- : --
17:00 NOR CUP Aalesund VS Viking 2
1.60
-- : --
12:35 CHN Meizhou Hakka VS Beijing Guoan 2
1.55
-- : --
20:00 FIFA WC Dortmund VS Ulsan HD 1
1.26
-- : --
Time League / Match / Tip Odds
17:00 NOR CUP
Rosenborg   vs  Rosenborg
OVER 1.5

1.20
17:00 NOR CUP
Aalesund   vs  Viking
2

1.60
12:35 CHN
Meizhou Hakka   vs  Beijing Guoan
2

1.55
20:00 FIFA WC
Dortmund   vs  Ulsan HD
1

1.26

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Recent Winnings
Date League Match Tip Score
24/06 EURO W France U19 W VS Portugal U19 W 1 4 : 3
24/06 EURO W Spain U19 W VS Italy U19 W 1 2 : 0
23/06 ICE Valur VS KR Reykjavik 1X 6 : 1
23/06 FIFA WC Seattle Sounders VS PSG 2 0 : 2
23/06 FIFA WC Atl. Madrid VS Botafogo RJ 1X 1 : 0
19/06 FIN Inter Turku VS KTP 1 5 : 0
19/06 FIN Lahti VS Klubi 04 1 2 : 1
15/06 FIN GrIFK VS Honka 2 1 : 3
15/06 FIN GBK Kokkola VS TP-47 1X 3 : 3
15/06 EURO U19 Portugal U19 W VS Spain U19 W 2 0 : 2
Date League / Match / Tip Score
24/06 EURO W
France U19 W   vs  Portugal U19 W
1
4  -  3
24/06 EURO W
Spain U19 W   vs  Italy U19 W
1
2  -  0
23/06 ICE
Valur   vs  KR Reykjavik
1X
6  -  1
23/06 FIFA WC
Seattle Sounders   vs  PSG
2
0  -  2
23/06 FIFA WC
Atl. Madrid   vs  Botafogo RJ
1X
1  -  0
19/06 FIN
Inter Turku   vs  KTP
1
5  -  0
19/06 FIN
Lahti   vs  Klubi 04
1
2  -  1
15/06 FIN
GrIFK   vs  Honka
2
1  -  3
15/06 FIN
GBK Kokkola   vs  TP-47
1X
3  -  3
15/06 EURO U19
Portugal U19 W   vs  Spain U19 W
2
0  -  2
×

What Are 538 Soccer Predictions?

538’s soccer predictions are created using the Soccer Power Index (SPI), a statistical model that rates teams based on expected goals, team strength, and opponent quality. The SPI then runs thousands of match simulations using a Poisson model to predict win, draw, and loss probabilities.

How Reliable Are 538’s Forecasts?

The model is highly respected for its transparency and structure. However, 538 does not specifically tailor its output for betting markets. It’s excellent for spotting long-term trends, league simulations, and match-level projections—but raw probabilities should be compared against bookmaker odds for value betting.

How Validpredict Differs

While 538 predictions are informative, they are general-purpose. Validpredict offers:

  • Real-time predictions based on betting angles

  • Tips backed by live match analysis and current stats

  • Daily updated forecasts for matches that matter most

If you’re looking for usable forecasts for bet slips, explore:

Can You Use 538 Data to Improve Betting?

Yes, but carefully. Use it to spot:

  • Underrated teams with strong SPI ratings

  • Draw-prone fixtures where simulations show low margins

  • Undervalued home teams in major leagues

Then, cross-check with our daily Single Bet Tips or Banker Predictions to confirm real betting value.

Conclusion: Use Data, But Bet Smart

538’s model gives insight. Validpredict turns that insight into practical, real-world betting opportunities. If you're serious about football predictions, combine what 538 offers with actionable daily tips from Validpredict. Stay informed, bet smart, and win consistently.