538 Soccer Predictions – Smart Football Forecasts Explained Explore the Power Behind 538's SPI-Based Football Predictions

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Time League Match Tip Odds Score
17:45 UCL W Twente W VS Chelsea W 2
1.24 		-- : --
14:00 U19 INT Norway U19 VS Kosovo U19 1
1.25 		-- : --
19:00 ENG Southampton W VS Portsmouth W 1
1.48 		-- : --
Time League / Match / Tip Odds
17:45 UCL W
Twente W   vs  Chelsea W
2

1.24
14:00 U19 INT
Norway U19   vs  Kosovo U19
1

1.25
19:00 ENG
Southampton W   vs  Portsmouth W
1

1.48

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  • 06
    Oct
    1.98 odds
  • 05
    Oct
    1.91 & 3.06 odds
  • 04
    Oct
    1.89 odds
  • 03
    Oct
    5.00 odds
  • 03
    Oct
    1.92 odds
  • 03
    Oct
    4.94 odds
  • 02
    Oct
    1.95 odds
  • 01
    Oct
    3.02 odds
  • 30
    Sep
    2.02 odds
  • 29
    Sep
    3.00 odds
  • 28
    Sep
    2.00 odds
  • 27
    Sep
    2.00 odds
  • 26
    Sep
    1.95 odds
  • 24
    Sep
    1.95 odds
  • 23
    Sep
    5.19 odds
  • 10
    Sep
    2.98 odds
  • 09
    Sep
    3.60 odds
  • 08
    Sep
    2.02 odds
  • 07
    Sep
    2.50 odds
  • 07
    Sep
    1.80 odds
  • 06
    Sep
    2 odds
  • 05
    Sep
    2.58 odds
  • 03
    Sep
    1.82 odds
  • 03
    Sep
    2.46 odds
  • 01
    Sep
    1.87 odds
  • 01
    Sep
    2.81 odds
  • 31
    Aug
    2.00 odds
  • 30
    Aug
    3.01 odds
  • 29
    Aug
    2.02 odds
  • 29
    Aug
    3.10 odds
  • 28
    Aug
    2.00 odds
  • 28
    Aug
    3.49 odds
  • 27
    Aug
    1.95 odds
  • 26
    Aug
    1.97 odds
  • 25
    Aug
    3.47 odds
  • 25
    Aug
    3.00 odds
  • 24
    Aug
    5.17 odds
  • 23
    Aug
    4.51 odds
  • 22
    Aug
    2.59 odds
  • 21
    Aug
    3.05 odds
  • 16
    Aug
    5.11 odds
  • 15
    Aug
    5.04 odds
  • 14
    Aug
    4.02 odds
  • 29
    Jul
    2.00 odds
  • 28
    Jul
    5.04 odds
  • 28
    Jul
    1.94 odds
  • 20
    Jul
    4.41 odds
  • 20
    Jul
    2.03 odds
  • 19
    Jul
    2.13 odds
  • 18
    Jul
    3.01 odds
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Recent Winnings
Date League Match Tip Score
06/10 BUL Vihren VS Marek 1 2 : 0
06/10 ENG PDL Bournemouth U21 VS Colchester U21 1 4 : 1
06/10 ENG PDL Crewe U21 VS Sheffield Utd U21 2 2 : 3
05/10 EPL Brentford VS Manchester City X2 0 : 1
05/10 FRA Lille VS PSG X2 1 : 1
05/10 CAF CL Pyramids (Egy) VS APR (Rwa) 1 3 : 0
05/10 ARM Ararat-Armenia VS FC Gandzasar 1 1 : 0
04/10 EST Harju JK Laagri VS Flora 2 1 : 2
04/10 BEL Molodechno VS Din. Minsk 2 1 : 3
04/10 AZE Qarabag VS Kapaz 1 1 : 0
Date League / Match / Tip Score
06/10 BUL
Vihren   vs  Marek
1
2  -  0
06/10 ENG PDL
Bournemouth U21   vs  Colchester U21
1
4  -  1
06/10 ENG PDL
Crewe U21   vs  Sheffield Utd U21
2
2  -  3
05/10 EPL
Brentford   vs  Manchester City
X2
0  -  1
05/10 FRA
Lille   vs  PSG
X2
1  -  1
05/10 CAF CL
Pyramids (Egy)   vs  APR (Rwa)
1
3  -  0
05/10 ARM
Ararat-Armenia   vs  FC Gandzasar
1
1  -  0
04/10 EST
Harju JK Laagri   vs  Flora
2
1  -  2
04/10 BEL
Molodechno   vs  Din. Minsk
2
1  -  3
04/10 AZE
Qarabag   vs  Kapaz
1
1  -  0
Load More
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What Are 538 Soccer Predictions?

538’s soccer predictions are created using the Soccer Power Index (SPI), a statistical model that rates teams based on expected goals, team strength, and opponent quality. The SPI then runs thousands of match simulations using a Poisson model to predict win, draw, and loss probabilities.

How Reliable Are 538’s Forecasts?

The model is highly respected for its transparency and structure. However, 538 does not specifically tailor its output for betting markets. It’s excellent for spotting long-term trends, league simulations, and match-level projections—but raw probabilities should be compared against bookmaker odds for value betting.

How Validpredict Differs

While 538 predictions are informative, they are general-purpose. Validpredict offers:

  • Real-time predictions based on betting angles

  • Tips backed by live match analysis and current stats

  • Daily updated forecasts for matches that matter most

If you’re looking for usable forecasts for bet slips, explore:

Can You Use 538 Data to Improve Betting?

Yes, but carefully. Use it to spot:

  • Underrated teams with strong SPI ratings

  • Draw-prone fixtures where simulations show low margins

  • Undervalued home teams in major leagues

Then, cross-check with our daily Single Bet Tips or Banker Predictions to confirm real betting value.

Conclusion: Use Data, But Bet Smart

538’s model gives insight. Validpredict turns that insight into practical, real-world betting opportunities. If you're serious about football predictions, combine what 538 offers with actionable daily tips from Validpredict. Stay informed, bet smart, and win consistently.