538 Soccer Predictions – Smart Football Forecasts Explained Explore the Power Behind 538's SPI-Based Football Predictions

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Time League Match Tip Odds Score
15:30 GRE CUP Panathinaikos VS Athens Kallithea 1
1.21 		1 : 0
17:30 DEN Lyseng VS Roskilde 2
1.28 		-- : --
19:15 AFC Al Nassr (Sau) VS Istiqlol Dushanbe (Taj) 1
1.10 		5 : 0
20:00 UCL PSG VS Atalanta 1
1.49 		4 : 0
20:00 UCL Liverpool VS Atl. Madrid 1
1.52 		3 : 2
Time League / Match / Tip Score
15:30 GRE CUP
Panathinaikos   vs  Athens Kallithea
1
1  -  0
17:30 DEN
Lyseng   vs  Roskilde
2
 - 
19:15 AFC
Al Nassr (Sau)   vs  Istiqlol Dushanbe (Taj)
1
5  -  0
20:00 UCL
PSG   vs  Atalanta
1
4  -  0
20:00 UCL
Liverpool   vs  Atl. Madrid
1
3  -  2

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  • 10
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    2.98 odds
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    Sep
    3.60 odds
  • 08
    Sep
    2.02 odds
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    2.50 odds
  • 07
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    1.80 odds
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    2 odds
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    2.58 odds
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    2.46 odds
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    1.87 odds
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    2.00 odds
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    3.01 odds
  • 29
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    2.02 odds
  • 29
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    3.10 odds
  • 28
    Aug
    2.00 odds
  • 28
    Aug
    3.49 odds
  • 27
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    1.95 odds
  • 26
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    1.97 odds
  • 25
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    3.47 odds
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    3.00 odds
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    5.17 odds
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    4.51 odds
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    2.59 odds
  • 21
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    3.05 odds
  • 16
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    5.11 odds
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    5.04 odds
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    4.02 odds
  • 29
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    2.00 odds
  • 28
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    5.04 odds
  • 28
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    1.94 odds
  • 20
    Jul
    4.41 odds
  • 20
    Jul
    2.03 odds
  • 19
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    2.13 odds
  • 18
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    3.01 odds
  • 16
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    5.29 odds
  • 09
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    3.01 odds
  • 08
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    2.14 odds
  • 06
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    5.19 odds
  • 05
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    2.02 odds
  • 05
    Jul
    5.08 odds
  • 02
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    2.00 odds
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    3.00 odds
  • 01
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    5.08 odds
  • 30
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    3.05 odds
  • 18
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    2.10 odds
  • 17
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    2.00 odds
  • 17
    Jun
    4.88 odds
  • 12
    Jun
    2.00 odds
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    Jun
    5.00 odds
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Recent Winnings
Date League Match Tip Score
17/09 UCL PSG VS Atalanta 1 4 : 0
17/09 UCL Liverpool VS Atl. Madrid 1 3 : 2
17/09 AFC Al Nassr (Sau) VS Istiqlol Dushanbe (Taj) 1 5 : 0
17/09 GRE CUP Panathinaikos VS Athens Kallithea 1 1 : 0
14/09 ENG W Aston Villa W VS Chelsea W 2 1 : 3
14/09 EST Narva VS Harju JK Laagri 1 1 : 2
11/09 ICE Akranes VS Breidablik 2 3 : 0
11/09 SWE DIV 2 Varbergs GIF VS Laholms X2 1 : 2
11/09 UCL Women Aris W VS RSC Anderlecht W 2 0 : 5
11/09 UCL W GKS Katowice W VS Twente W 2 0 : 4
Date League / Match / Tip Score
17/09 UCL
PSG   vs  Atalanta
1
4  -  0
17/09 UCL
Liverpool   vs  Atl. Madrid
1
3  -  2
17/09 AFC
Al Nassr (Sau)   vs  Istiqlol Dushanbe (Taj)
1
5  -  0
17/09 GRE CUP
Panathinaikos   vs  Athens Kallithea
1
1  -  0
14/09 ENG W
Aston Villa W   vs  Chelsea W
2
1  -  3
14/09 EST
Narva   vs  Harju JK Laagri
1
1  -  2
11/09 ICE
Akranes   vs  Breidablik
2
3  -  0
11/09 SWE DIV 2
Varbergs GIF   vs  Laholms
X2
1  -  2
11/09 UCL Women
Aris W   vs  RSC Anderlecht W
2
0  -  5
11/09 UCL W
GKS Katowice W   vs  Twente W
2
0  -  4
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What Are 538 Soccer Predictions?

538’s soccer predictions are created using the Soccer Power Index (SPI), a statistical model that rates teams based on expected goals, team strength, and opponent quality. The SPI then runs thousands of match simulations using a Poisson model to predict win, draw, and loss probabilities.

How Reliable Are 538’s Forecasts?

The model is highly respected for its transparency and structure. However, 538 does not specifically tailor its output for betting markets. It’s excellent for spotting long-term trends, league simulations, and match-level projections—but raw probabilities should be compared against bookmaker odds for value betting.

How Validpredict Differs

While 538 predictions are informative, they are general-purpose. Validpredict offers:

  • Real-time predictions based on betting angles

  • Tips backed by live match analysis and current stats

  • Daily updated forecasts for matches that matter most

If you’re looking for usable forecasts for bet slips, explore:

Can You Use 538 Data to Improve Betting?

Yes, but carefully. Use it to spot:

  • Underrated teams with strong SPI ratings

  • Draw-prone fixtures where simulations show low margins

  • Undervalued home teams in major leagues

Then, cross-check with our daily Single Bet Tips or Banker Predictions to confirm real betting value.

Conclusion: Use Data, But Bet Smart

538’s model gives insight. Validpredict turns that insight into practical, real-world betting opportunities. If you're serious about football predictions, combine what 538 offers with actionable daily tips from Validpredict. Stay informed, bet smart, and win consistently.